Michael Schuman
Bloomberg Businessweek - September 3, 2015
Remember when emerging economies were supposed to save us all? After
the 2008 financial crisis, the traditional engines of global growth—the
U.S., Western Europe, and Japan—stumbled into recession. To the rescue
came the once-poor developing world. China, India, Brazil, and other
up-and-comers powered the global economy through the historic downturn.
The meek were inheriting the earth.
Not completely, as it turns out.
Today,
as the U.S. recovery gains steam and even debt-burdened Europe stirs to
life, the emerging world has tumbled into trouble. Growth is slowing,
currencies are plunging, and investors are fleeing. Fears of a
protracted slowdown in China sparked a worldwide stock selloff in
August. The turmoil has even resurrected terrifying memories of previous
emerging-markets crises, like East Asia’s rout in 1997, igniting
jitters that the fragile global economy faces yet another financial
debacle.
But international
investors are making a big mistake. The emerging world will be just
fine, thank you. The global business community is allowing short-term
uncertainty to cloud the long-term reality of the changing global
economy: Emerging markets are still our future.
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